I just watched this SHTF video on Youtube. It covers a lot of things that will happen when things go bad, and I think it's an excellent video for newbies. It's also good for everyone else who needs a reminder of their soft spots. I found one of mine. Seventeen minutes well spent for me.
PreppingGal
It was a good primer. Quick synopsis:
48 hours is the sweet spot to make your decisions. The situation will dictate, but I also wonder if it's a true grid down, communications and intel sources will make it difficult to asses and to execute your SHTF plan. This is where you need to determine if you need to bug in or bug out, rounding up family if necessary, and while it's likely the last opportunity to fill up on gas or visit a local store, the situation may not make that the best situation. I always had an emergency leave form ready or floated issues about a fictitious family illness that may cause me to take a leave of absence at a moments notice. I would rather burn a couple days of leave for a false alarm if it gave me a head start to get home (or get out of town if that was the plan).
At 1 Week, his determination was that:
-Grocery stores would be cleaned out
-Gas stations empty
-Value of cash may become less useful and bartering more important
-Hospitals and other service facilities shut down
-No communications
-Increase in violent threats
At 2 Weeks, this is where I disagree with the recommendation of where he mentions "bugout". My assumption is that those in more suburban or urban areas who bugged in, not knowing the severity of the crisis, are starting to run out of food and supplies, forcing them to bugout. This is where a refugee crisis is imminent...and not something you want to be a part of. If your current situation is NOT a long-term plan, than I think you need to make the decision to bugout in that first 48 hours or risk a much tougher decision when the situation is far more volatile...
At 1 Month: Starvation kicks in for those not prepared; this is the "die-off" stage for those without food, life-supporting medical prescriptions/electrical devices, no potable water, and poor sanitation conditions. Also, the threat likely turns from individuals and small groups to larger gangs. I agree with his assessment here...
At 2 Months, the author of the video stresses the importance of becoming part of a group or community for long term survival and security. Again, I agree, but this should hopefully be established much earlier.
His priorities were general in nature but this was what he mentioned:
1. Long term food storage, and consider having a stock of heirloom seeds
2. Water storage
3. Water purification/filtration
4. Medical supplies
5. Self-defense
6. Build a community
I don't think many would disagree with the priorities for the most part. But it's your current location and situation that will really determine the order of the priorities both from an immediate need balanced with where to start and prioritize.
Good video for those who aren't really prepared, not fully informed, or just want to hear another assessment with a little supporting information as to the likelihood of a crisis and possible aftermath as it goes from short to long term SHTF...
ROCK6
48 hours is the sweet spot to make your decisions. The situation will dictate, but I also wonder if it's a true grid down, communications and intel sources will make it difficult to asses and to execute your SHTF plan. This is where you need to determine if you need to bug in or bug out, rounding up family if necessary, and while it's likely the last opportunity to fill up on gas or visit a local store, the situation may not make that the best situation. I always had an emergency leave form ready or floated issues about a fictitious family illness that may cause me to take a leave of absence at a moments notice. I would rather burn a couple days of leave for a false alarm if it gave me a head start to get home (or get out of town if that was the plan).
At 1 Week, his determination was that:
-Grocery stores would be cleaned out
-Gas stations empty
-Value of cash may become less useful and bartering more important
-Hospitals and other service facilities shut down
-No communications
-Increase in violent threats
At 2 Weeks, this is where I disagree with the recommendation of where he mentions "bugout". My assumption is that those in more suburban or urban areas who bugged in, not knowing the severity of the crisis, are starting to run out of food and supplies, forcing them to bugout. This is where a refugee crisis is imminent...and not something you want to be a part of. If your current situation is NOT a long-term plan, than I think you need to make the decision to bugout in that first 48 hours or risk a much tougher decision when the situation is far more volatile...
At 1 Month: Starvation kicks in for those not prepared; this is the "die-off" stage for those without food, life-supporting medical prescriptions/electrical devices, no potable water, and poor sanitation conditions. Also, the threat likely turns from individuals and small groups to larger gangs. I agree with his assessment here...
At 2 Months, the author of the video stresses the importance of becoming part of a group or community for long term survival and security. Again, I agree, but this should hopefully be established much earlier.
His priorities were general in nature but this was what he mentioned:
1. Long term food storage, and consider having a stock of heirloom seeds
2. Water storage
3. Water purification/filtration
4. Medical supplies
5. Self-defense
6. Build a community
I don't think many would disagree with the priorities for the most part. But it's your current location and situation that will really determine the order of the priorities both from an immediate need balanced with where to start and prioritize.
Good video for those who aren't really prepared, not fully informed, or just want to hear another assessment with a little supporting information as to the likelihood of a crisis and possible aftermath as it goes from short to long term SHTF...
ROCK6
Personally I feel self defense should be a higher priority as without the ability to do so, the rest of your preps could be easily taken from you in an emergency.
Not saying you need to be a black belt ninja master before gathering any supplies. Just that a gun and how to use it should be a real priority.
Not saying you need to be a black belt ninja master before gathering any supplies. Just that a gun and how to use it should be a real priority.
Let see "scientists" determined that due to "global warming" there was a high probability that 6 natural disasters might happen simultaneously. At least at I didn't have to watch too much to know it wasn't worth wasting 17 mins on.
1)Imagine a situation where trucks stop delivering food to stores in the city.
ok
2)Imagine a situation where theres no more water supply.
ok
3)Imagine there's no more power and stores are getting looted and burned down.
ok
4)Imagine that money is worthless.
... ok
5)But imagine you can safely trade for what you need with food, medicine and other valuable supplies, in some imaginary safe location where you can do this, full of imaginary people that have what you need while needing what you have for trade and will not simply shoot you in the back to steal what you have... unlike what everyone I just told you would be doing, you know, looting and stealing, somehow doesnt apply to roudy survivalists and their code of honor as traders...
.... .....ok
6)Vehicles that run on gasoline will be useless at this point.
ok... :rofl:
Stopped wasting my time about there.
Just for the record, Venezuela has been living as a completely collapsed and failed state for years, yet not a single thing this video asks us to image came to happen. Sure there's rolling blackouts, theres little food, THEIR cash is worthless, but dollars, euros and certainly precious metals and bitcoin, all valuable.
Instead of imagining so much nonsense go with someone that actually bothered doing some reseach into how these things really go down. plenty of real world examples.
Instead of "imagine" this and that, go with "as it happened here and there, in x year". That's what I look into to see if a certain suposition makes sense or not, rather than just pulling it out of thin air.
ok
2)Imagine a situation where theres no more water supply.
ok
3)Imagine there's no more power and stores are getting looted and burned down.
ok
4)Imagine that money is worthless.
... ok
5)But imagine you can safely trade for what you need with food, medicine and other valuable supplies, in some imaginary safe location where you can do this, full of imaginary people that have what you need while needing what you have for trade and will not simply shoot you in the back to steal what you have... unlike what everyone I just told you would be doing, you know, looting and stealing, somehow doesnt apply to roudy survivalists and their code of honor as traders...
.... .....ok
6)Vehicles that run on gasoline will be useless at this point.
ok... :rofl:
Stopped wasting my time about there.
Just for the record, Venezuela has been living as a completely collapsed and failed state for years, yet not a single thing this video asks us to image came to happen. Sure there's rolling blackouts, theres little food, THEIR cash is worthless, but dollars, euros and certainly precious metals and bitcoin, all valuable.
Instead of imagining so much nonsense go with someone that actually bothered doing some reseach into how these things really go down. plenty of real world examples.
Instead of "imagine" this and that, go with "as it happened here and there, in x year". That's what I look into to see if a certain suposition makes sense or not, rather than just pulling it out of thin air.
I Have the spot picked out.5)But imagine you can safely trade for what you need with food, medicine and other valuable supplies, in some imaginary safe location where you can do this, full of imaginary people that have what you need while needing what you have for trade and will not simply shoot you in the back to steal what you have... unlike what everyone I just told you would be doing, you know, looting and stealing, somehow doesnt apply to roudy survivalists and their code of honor as traders...
.... .....ok
6)Vehicles that run on gasoline will be useless at this point.
ok... :rofl:
Stopped wasting my time about there.
Just for the record, Venezuela has been living as a completely collapsed and failed state for years, yet not a single thing this video asks us to image came to happen. Sure there's rolling blackouts, theres little food, THEIR cash is worthless, but dollars, euros and certainly precious metals and bitcoin, all valuable.
Instead of imagining so much nonsense go with someone that actually bothered doing some reseach into how these things really go down. plenty of real world examples.
Instead of "imagine" this and that, go with "as it happened here and there, in x year". That's what I look into to see if a certain suposition makes sense or not, rather than just pulling it out of thin air.
Also my overwatch position.
Venezuela people don't have .50 API
People mostly hunker down and adapt. Normalcy by whatever mesns becomes much more valuable and valued....think 2009. Currently, South Africa is THE example of SHTF: metal round. Venezuela is stabilizing into basic abject misery with high crime but back alley forms of exchange. Always looking for the baseline, not just in this. ****bags will be preditors, always have been, eventually they get whittled down and crushed, thing to keep in mind is that raiders are the feral form of criminal and much more disruptive of criminal enterprises than the legit businesses those enterprises depend on. Criminal investigations depend on that via informants. In a SHTF that become more important as thr lines blur between civil and criminal govt.
Everything will depend on whats in your preps, location, skills and your mind set to survive, starving people and criminals will be the biggest threat.
An incompetent "ruling dictator" could be what turns a serious natural disaster into a catastrophe. Most state governments are barely capable of handling a few tornadoes, let alone a monster hurricane, a major dam collapse that triggers a chain of collapses, a tsunami and who knows what else. Consider a disaster that shuts down all the roads into and out of a large area and thereby food and medicine shipments, and shuts down the grid and thereby the pumps that provide water.
Most folks have a small store of, if nothing else, canned goods, but how many have a useful store of water that doesn't depend on a pump? People can function on minimal calories long enough to survive for up to a month, but shut down the water and the young and old are dead within a few days and there are piles of corpses within a week.
The federal government is a top down organization full of incompetent bureaucrats who depend on amateurish political appointees to make the big decisions. Remember "Brownie" from Katrina. The guy was a society playboy whose only qualification to run FEMA was his ability to hold fundraisers for politicians.
The point is that instead of hanging around a disaster area and waiting to see what's going to happen, once the water gets shut off, for 99.9% of those affected, it's time to get out of Dodge. So unless the roving gangs can live without water, there won't be any roving gangs to worry about if the water supply is interrupted, which in a real disaster, is likely. Conversely, if you have a good supply of water, and you can survive for a week, you'll be one of the few that're either left or left alive. If there are any roving gangs, they'll be desperate within a day or two not a week or two.
Most folks have a small store of, if nothing else, canned goods, but how many have a useful store of water that doesn't depend on a pump? People can function on minimal calories long enough to survive for up to a month, but shut down the water and the young and old are dead within a few days and there are piles of corpses within a week.
The federal government is a top down organization full of incompetent bureaucrats who depend on amateurish political appointees to make the big decisions. Remember "Brownie" from Katrina. The guy was a society playboy whose only qualification to run FEMA was his ability to hold fundraisers for politicians.
The point is that instead of hanging around a disaster area and waiting to see what's going to happen, once the water gets shut off, for 99.9% of those affected, it's time to get out of Dodge. So unless the roving gangs can live without water, there won't be any roving gangs to worry about if the water supply is interrupted, which in a real disaster, is likely. Conversely, if you have a good supply of water, and you can survive for a week, you'll be one of the few that're either left or left alive. If there are any roving gangs, they'll be desperate within a day or two not a week or two.
Food, water, shelter, heat, self-defense. Add in first-aid if you want. Anyone can come up with a story as to how you need to prepare, but everyone's situation is different and how you prepare will depend upon you're personal situation. This is a good video for a novice to get them thinking. I would hope that anyone who is a prepper has moved beyond this stage.
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