What I mean by "Your Observations" is what is happening around you. Friends/family losing jobs, local retail business going out of business, cannot get a car loan or mortgage, etc. The news stations are not always the best source, so I am looking for some more grassroots reporting.
Retail: Around me, Home Depot is much slower. A year ago it took 20 minutes to checkout on weekend. Now it takes 2 minutes. I almost never go shopping but this weekend my wife dragged me to a large outlet center in central NJ. Prices were slashed big time and sales were around 60% at a lot of stores. There were definitely bargains to be had. There were a couple of stores going out of business. As for the crowds, it was packed especially at the stores going out of business. I waited in line for 25+ minutes behind some lady who never heard of soap!
Jobs: I have a unique perspective on the job outlook. My background is in human resources, specifically recruiting and hiring. In the 12 years I have been in the industry I have never seen it this bad. Some of my contacts in the field are saying it is the worst in 30 years. During the last recession there were a areas steadily hiring and not laying off. Today even the areas that are doing minimal hiring are having layoffs, restructuring, etc. I have family, friends and neighbors all losing jobs. The economy is the main topic of everyone conversations. People who normally never gave the economy a second thought are talking about it.
Loans, mortgages, etc. My neighbor's daughter was able to get a mortgage this week. I have no idea what the rate was or what her credit rating is. Both her and her husband have stable local government jobs. I did hear that mortgage rates are as high as 11% depending on your rating but I have not been able to verify that.
Retail: Around me, Home Depot is much slower. A year ago it took 20 minutes to checkout on weekend. Now it takes 2 minutes. I almost never go shopping but this weekend my wife dragged me to a large outlet center in central NJ. Prices were slashed big time and sales were around 60% at a lot of stores. There were definitely bargains to be had. There were a couple of stores going out of business. As for the crowds, it was packed especially at the stores going out of business. I waited in line for 25+ minutes behind some lady who never heard of soap!
Jobs: I have a unique perspective on the job outlook. My background is in human resources, specifically recruiting and hiring. In the 12 years I have been in the industry I have never seen it this bad. Some of my contacts in the field are saying it is the worst in 30 years. During the last recession there were a areas steadily hiring and not laying off. Today even the areas that are doing minimal hiring are having layoffs, restructuring, etc. I have family, friends and neighbors all losing jobs. The economy is the main topic of everyone conversations. People who normally never gave the economy a second thought are talking about it.
Loans, mortgages, etc. My neighbor's daughter was able to get a mortgage this week. I have no idea what the rate was or what her credit rating is. Both her and her husband have stable local government jobs. I did hear that mortgage rates are as high as 11% depending on your rating but I have not been able to verify that.