0-5 minutes: Check cellphone for signal and battery power:
- If no signal, it might be bad. Get out of bed and get dressed, kit up with NVG and Glock-17 for now.
- If no power on phone (I always keep it charged), it's worse as it almost certainly is bricked (this would point towards an EMP and full-scale SHTF). Get dressed, kit up low profile as above.
5-10 minutes step 1: Check door locks and check immediate neighborhood from balcony (8th floor) to verify source of commotion/sounds:
- If possible to identify, evaluate. Threat/No threat, just normal neighbor activity, thunderstorms, fire/explosion at local power relay?
- If not visible or if identified as possible threat, put on low-profile vest as well.
- If verified as non-threat or normal power outage due to storm/"normal" break-down, stand down and go to bed.
5-10 minutes step 2: Check battery-powered scanners, step-list for known freqs and search for new signals:
- If bricked, reaction as above. Same probable situation as above. Bad.
- If usable, check local LE and ER freqs and evaluate. Kit up low profile as above. Also check RF noise-floor for indications of a CME/GMS.
10-15 minutes: Go outside, check car at the parking for usability:
- If usable, all good. Back to apartment and continue evaluating situation for now. Continue scanning local radio traffic if possible.
- If unusable (no ignition, electrics fried), it's bad. Back to apartment and begin final preps for bug-out (readying BOB, main kit and clothing). Same probable situation as above. Bad.
15-30 minutes: Check activity on HF, see if local ham emergency response group is active:
- If HF radio is dead, same probable situation as above. Bad.
- If HF radio is still working, try to check local ham emergency group for activity, check for sitrep from them if possible. Try to get buddies at BOL to respond, and give sitrep and current plan.
30-60 minutes option A: If power is gone, phone is bricked, own electronics are all dead, it's an EMP. At that point I've got nothing left to do here. If car is still working, it might go smoothly to get outta there, if not....a long walk:
- Get BOB, kit up full battle-rattle and camo, and get going.
- Option A: if car is still usable, load up and drive to BOL.
- Option B: if car is unusable, start walking.
30-60 minutes option B: If electronics are still working, but no cellular activity or power, and no broadcasting stations are active, there's a high possibility of a CME/GMS having struck good. Once again, I've got nothing left to do here:
- Check RF broadband for noise-level indications.
- Check latest space weather warnings saved on laptop (battery powered of course).
- If evaluation is that a CME/GMS is likely to have hit (and with these indicators it probably has), get going, bug out by car.
30-60 minutes option C: If electronics are still working, comms are up for cell and radio, no bigger commotion outside, it is probably just a normal power outage:
- Go back to sleep!
- If activity/noise outside is a possible threat (fire, explosion, gang of people), stay up with low-profile kit for a while, and evaluate.
Note that if the situation is identified as more or less normal power outage from normal breakdowns or weather, at any point during this process, this is the sign to stand down and get back to bed for me.