Q: Many people would indignantly say, "Today is not like 1929."
Bob Prechter: They're right. It's worse.
Q: Worse than in 1929. Why?
Bob Prechter: Because it seems better, of course. People are more optimistic than ever before, at least as far back as our data go. And look at the results. When but at a major top in worldwide social mood would you ever have had the Berlin Wall come down, communism rejected, sanctions lifted on South Africa and the idea of a "new world order"? This type of psychologically induced event on the world stage, including Mideast, IRA-English and Bosnian peace agreements, 20 American free trade agreements in 34 months and, in October 1995, a photograph commemorating the largest gathering of national leaders in world history, has continued right through today with the normalization of trade ties with China.
Q: This is bad news?
Bob Prechter: It's a huge top. At the bottom, international tensions will be high and include active conflict, as always. That will be bullish … which means for the future.
Q: What will be the prime indication that the great economic contraction is about to start?
Bob Prechter: The stock market will be the main indication. When the Dow heads down in a big way, we'll be off the cliff.