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Old 08-23-2019, 09:49 AM
Major Mjolnir Major Mjolnir is online now
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https://www.nass.usda.gov/Newsroom/2019/08-12-2019.php
WASHINGTON, DC August 12, 2019
USDA Forecasts U.S. Corn and Soybean Production Down from 2018

"Soybean production is down 19 percent from 2018, forecast at 3.68 billion bushels; corn growers are expected to decrease their production 4 percent from last year, forecast at 13.9 billion bushels. ...Average corn yield is forecast at 169.5 bushels per acre, down 6.9 bushels from last year."

"Wheat production is forecast at 1.98 billion bushels, up 5 percent from 2018. Growers are expected to produce 1.33 billion bushels of winter wheat this year, up 12 percent from last year. Durum wheat production is forecast at 57.3 million bushels, down 26 percent from last year. All other spring wheat production is forecast at 597 million bushels, down 4 percent from 2018. Based on August 1 conditions, the U.S. all wheat yield is forecast at 51.6 bushels per acre, up 4.0 bushels from last year."
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Old 08-23-2019, 09:17 PM
vivisky vivisky is offline
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I am so sorry to hear of the decreased yields...however, smaller yields should mean higher prices (????)
And if there are some farms which have not prepped for a downturn, combined with over-dependence on equipment loans....these properties might be for sale, and a good opportunity for those who can manage them more efficiently (e.g. preppers or organic small-scale specialty farmers). No mean intentions, as I have several farmers in my family. We carry on, in any manner as we must. Some of the relative's sons (daughters) sadly have zero interest in farming.....and I do not stand to inherit, neither can I afford their $3,000 per acre asking price (for an 80 acre size tract).
The future belongs to those who have prepared, or who will trade with those who promise to keep the land in the family.
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Old 08-24-2019, 12:07 AM
Kansas Terri Kansas Terri is offline
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I would like to think that the farmers who bring off a good crop would make a good profit: however this year China has been buying from South America instead of from us. So, what happens to the price in a couple of months is anybody's guess
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Old 08-25-2019, 12:42 PM
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https://www.the-review.com/news/2019...er-of-extremes

***The U.S. Department of Agriculture says the corn yield potential on the tour was estimated at 154.35 bushels per acre in Ohio — a drop from 2018′s tour estimate of 179.57 and below the three-year average of 164.38.
The next state suffering the biggest weather-related issues was South Dakota, where the corn yield potential was estimated at 154.08 bushels per acre — below 2018′s tally of 178.01.
Ohio is the nation’s eighth-largest corn-producing state and is predicted to have a yield estimated to be about 18% lower this year.
The rather grim sentiment was echoed by Cheryl Turner, a state statistician for the USDA, in her weekly report on Ohio’s corn and soybean crops.
There was some much-needed soaking rain in some areas of Ohio, but Turner noted that while some fields saw an inch or more of rain, others not far away remained high and dry.
“Crop conditions continued to deteriorate and remained in much poorer shape than 2018,” she concluded. ***

not good

however

https://www.cnbc.com/2019/08/12/corn...d-us-crop.html
***The U.S. corn harvest will be bigger than previously forecast, the U.S. Agriculture Department said on Monday, as the government issued a surprise boost to its yield estimate despite ongoing concerns in the country about a wet spring and dry summer limiting production.
For the 2019/20 crop year, the corn harvest will total 13.901 billion bushels, based on an average yield of 169.5 bushels per acre, the USDA predicted in its monthly supply and demand report.***

bad weather in one area, good weather elsewhere
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Old 09-13-2019, 07:34 PM
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Crop yields will go up and down. Plan accordingly. Yields were pretty good last year as I recall.

These tariffs came at a good time, if there is such a thing. China is already backtracking on some of their farm tariffs and we're selling what we produce.
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Old 07-15-2020, 04:03 PM
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2019 crop overall was good

https://www.agriculture.com/news/cro...ean-production

***The U.S. farmers grew a bigger 2019 corn crop than the trade and the government thought.
For 2019 corn yield, the USDA pegged it at 168 bushels per acre, compared with the average analysts’ estimate of 166 bushels per acre vs. 167 last month.

USDA estimated the U.S. 2019 corn output at 13.692 billion bushels vs. the trade’s expectations of 13.513 billion bushels and the USDA’s December estimate of 13.661 billion.
The USDA says the U.S. 2019 average soybean yield ended at 47.4 bushels per acre vs. the trade’s expectations of 46.6 bushels per acre and December’s estimate of 46.9 bushels per acre.

The 2019 U.S. soybean production totaled 3.558 billion bushels vs. the trade’s expectations of 3.51 billion bushels and the USDA’s December estimate of 3.55 billion.

In 2018, the U.S. farmers grew a soybean crop totaling 4.428 billion bushels.***

okay, now we can start worrying about 2020 crop yields
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Old 07-15-2020, 04:27 PM
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Crops were decent, but prices were way down and there was no real rebound.

This year, the first time in my family farm's known history of over 150 years, we are not planting corn, because of weather in central Illinois. We had to plant the soy beans on the same fields we used last year. (Rotating crops between soy and corn keeps the nitrogen levels in balance).

This is not a good time for farmers.
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Old 07-23-2020, 01:03 PM
62bravo 62bravo is offline
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A lot of the guys around here half half or less of their land under cultivation this year. Everything else is under water.
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Old 07-23-2020, 02:13 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by 62bravo View Post
A lot of the guys around here half half or less of their land under cultivation this year. Everything else is under water.
are you in the midwest?
yr info has no location
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Old 07-23-2020, 03:19 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by thataway View Post
Crops were decent, but prices were way down and there was no real rebound.

This year, the first time in my family farm's known history of over 150 years, we are not planting corn, because of weather in central Illinois. We had to plant the soy beans on the same fields we used last year. (Rotating crops between soy and corn keeps the nitrogen levels in balance).

This is not a good time for farmers.
I farm in Northeast Nebraska. Had a cold and wet spring. Then after Memorial Day, the rain just shut-off. And it's been hot. Have had less than 1/4 the normal rainfall amounts for June and July.

But the worst is the prices. I never thought I'd see below $3 corn again. But it's happening. The price we had back in 2002. How can you pay today's bills, with the income you had 20 years ago?
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Old 07-25-2020, 08:58 PM
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My CSA guy says he can't pick his stuff fast enough. People are constantly stopping by the farm for whatever he's got, plus he's got more than double the number of CSA clients this year vs. last year. I just overpaid for 10# of blueberries and 25# of peaches, because his stuff is quality and I'm seeing food prices rising around here too. And I'd really rather give the money to my local farmer than the middle man at the grocery store. It's a farmer's market, for the first time in years. And I don't begrudge it to them. Dairy farms around here are still going under daily.

Interestingly, I have a food preservation class up on my Outschool. Appallingly little interest in it. It's almost like people think their food comes from the grocery store which is pretty sad. I'm assuming that few of those people live in farm country. Lucky for me, I do.
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