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Old 01-16-2020, 10:46 AM
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evilwhitey evilwhitey is offline
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Originally Posted by leadcounsel View Post
Truth. The stock market is a significant amount of speculation and gambling and short term profit taking. Lots of fraud. Lots of running prices up and then taking profits. Lots of insider trading. Stocks might actually be the opposite of a healthy economy.

A simple example. Ford might lay off 10,000 Americans, shut down a plant, gutting all the aftermarket support in the process and ruin the economy in 4 American towns. Ford moves those plants and jobs to a foreign country. In the process, Ford projects saving $5 billion dollars in the next few years. The stock might go up 3 points in a day. TERRIBLE for the American economy, but great for stock holders.

That said, it does somewhat reflect overall consumer confidence and confidence in the economy generally speaking.
Yep. Gotta look at what's fueling the stock market and that's a ton infusion by the Fed, stock buy backs artificially driving up prices, and of course consumer confidence among many other factors.

If we look at every single moment right before an economic downturn, people are saying the same thing "stock market is doing great, economy is great, invest invest invest, spend spend spend." Then we all know what happens. Corrections are healthy, we need a correction, the key is to not get caught with your pants down and to be poised to capitalize on it.

Trump will likely win reelection, which in the short term would be good, he's responsible for drawing out this period of economic prosperity as long as it has gone, but make no mistake, there will be a correction, and it will likely come during his second term which will then swing the economic and political pendulum back towards the Dems an it could get nasty, especially with the SS and Medicare problems we will be experiencing over the next decade.
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Old 01-20-2020, 03:56 PM
Mule Skinner Mule Skinner is offline
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Originally Posted by evilwhitey View Post
, stock buy backs .
Shell (RDSA and RDSB) is doing a TON of buy-backs~!
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