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Old 03-31-2010, 04:23 PM
WolfBrother WolfBrother is offline
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In another forum I participate in, one of the givens for a long term SHTF or a TEOTWAWKI is that the 5 to 10% of the population that uses 80+% of the medical world will die fairly quickly.

The % that are drug dependent like diabetics, people who have to take thyroid meds, etc will linger somewhat but eventually will start dieing off.

The % of us who occasionally need antibiotics etc will suffer extended illnesses and some of us will die off, most will make it back.

In the end - the luckiest (not always the fittest) will be doing the best. Example of a lucky one - A diabetic who has the needed infrastructure and animals and someone who can do it to manufacture insulin like they did in 1925.

An unlucky one - a diabetic 50 miles away who doesn't. Pretty soon dead.

My definition
Long Term SHTF - something like New Madrid and California both having the "big" earthquake. Resulting in thousands dead and huge disruption to the US. Eventually returning to more or less like it was before.

TEOTWAWKI - Stuff happening that will prevent us from getting back to what it was, may be our Great Grand children will but not us.
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