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Search: Posts Made By: ambos lados
Forum: Coronavirus Yesterday, 07:14 PM
Replies: 466
Views: 16,700
Posted By ambos lados
Maskerading Around

Maybe he "cares" about others more than he cares about himself...IDK, I agree it's bizarre...but then I don't wear that kind of mask to protect myself either.


Me neither...I think I first wore a...
Forum: Coronavirus Yesterday, 05:13 PM
Replies: 466
Views: 16,700
Posted By ambos lados
Wait, how does the person who decides to go...

Wait, how does the person who decides to go mingling with friends or strangers without a mask know that he is not contagious?

There could be a fairly good reason why someone is not concerned about...
Forum: Coronavirus Yesterday, 02:06 PM
Replies: 466
Views: 16,700
Posted By ambos lados
Look At the Bright Side...At Least We Can See Anti-Maskers Coming

We may not know who is shedding...
But at least we can see who doesn't care if they're spreading.
Forum: Coronavirus 08-11-2020, 02:02 PM
Replies: 466
Views: 16,700
Posted By ambos lados
"Effectiveness" of Masks Also Varies With % Compliance

The health minions here, in making their pitch to City Council in favour of a mandatory mask by-law for enclosed public vehicles and indoor public spaces, referred to research showing the public...
Forum: Coronavirus 08-07-2020, 10:24 AM
Replies: 466
Views: 16,700
Posted By ambos lados
Cloth Masks as "PPE" - Just a Question on Terminology

In my own mind there is a distinction between "PPE" which I think of as equipment for protecting oneself (hard hat, welder's helmet, steel-toed boots, respirator masks, faceshield or goggles, etc),...
Forum: Coronavirus 08-04-2020, 09:57 AM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Vaccine Injury Compensation Program

I did not know this, but I am not surprised. It's a similar principle to the way Workers' Compensation was supposed to relieve employers while equalizing payouts to injured employees. IIRC,...
Forum: Coronavirus 08-03-2020, 06:00 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Sacrificing Science for Speed....

I understand people's concern about offering tort immunity to manufacturers. But I don't think lack of tort liability will be as big a factor in lowering standards of safety and efficacy of the...
Forum: Coronavirus 08-01-2020, 05:16 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
If You're Going to Party Like It's 2019...

Stay outdoors! And watch out for the "false negative" tests (if the "false negative" rate is really 20% as I just posted above, I don't think this has received enough publicity, has it?). We've...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-31-2020, 08:56 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Take Any Talk of Significant False Positives With a Grain of Salt

I don't want to call BS on this surprising statement from Ontario's Barbara Yaffe without knowing exactly what data she is basing it on. On the one hand, it's true there is a principle in...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-30-2020, 11:36 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
How to Not Become a Statistic...

Although my experience with dangerous sports is fleeting (let's see, hanggliding, flying VFR in the mountains, and a brief and ignominious hockey career), I have a lot more experience with risk...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-30-2020, 07:29 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 3,610
Posted By ambos lados
I Wish He Were Wrong...

but I fear he is right. The Chinese, despite their mistakes and weaknesses, are patriotic, disciplined, cohesive, and play the long game. The current US leadership--and too many of its...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-30-2020, 06:23 PM
Replies: 95
Views: 3,872
Posted By ambos lados
Since I Hate Posts Like This Without Description of Contents...

but I really appreciate your posting the link to this important paper, let me add the title you left off, and say again how happy I was that someone posted this valuable information:

"Estimation...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-29-2020, 11:13 PM
Replies: 88
Views: 3,610
Posted By ambos lados
This Could Be One of Those "Tipping Point" Things...

that seem to come as a surprise, but only in hindsight can you see that the "signs" were there.

In an age where everyone has a computer in his pocket, I don't think the lack of a single existing...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-29-2020, 03:42 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Reporting COVID Deaths Is Not Quite Like a Baseball Scoreboard

I see your point, but I don't think it takes anything away from the accuracy of the reporting to realize that time lags in reporting deaths are inevitable...

It's not like there's a direct link...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-29-2020, 10:32 AM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,024
Posted By ambos lados
Nope...Can't be shamed or insulted into clicking, either!

Trying to imagine how clicking on someone else's idea of entertainment makes me more of an adult... is entertainment enough for me.
Forum: Financial Forum 07-28-2020, 11:58 PM
Replies: 9
Views: 1,024
Posted By ambos lados
I Hate Posts Like This...

which give no clue as to the content. Waste my time to save yours? I bet I'm not the only one who refuses to click.
Forum: Coronavirus 07-28-2020, 05:40 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Pushing Back the "Ancestry" of the SARS Family of Coronaviruses

Based on independent phylogenetic analyses, researchers from US, Belgium, UK and China have determined that the ancestry of a whole group of coronaviruses including those causing SARS, MERS, and...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-26-2020, 11:45 AM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Maybe the Weather is Secondary to Human Behaviour...

As far as we know right now, the virus doesn't spread itself. It's just we humans who are moving around, emitting droplets, leaving fomites, picking them up, passing them on, and giving it to...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-25-2020, 12:43 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Lower Symptom Severity Associated With Higher Viral Loads

Not exactly on point, because this NY study only found higher viral loads to be associated with less clinical severity--not lower ages per se--but it was unexpected to find the hospitalized patients...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-22-2020, 10:19 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Let's See, An R0 of 1.1 Forever or 100 For a Month...

Now we have 2 straw men, at least 1 of which is a completely non-real-world alternative.

Where in the world has this virus (or any virus) ever achieved an R0 of 100 for a month? US R values were...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-22-2020, 08:18 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Welding People In Their Homes Is Another Straw Man...

In the first place, the people who have brought their outbreaks down (or downward) by and large have not done this by welding anyone in their homes. And I don't hear Americans arguing about whether...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-22-2020, 07:20 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Some Experts Take a More Measured View of US R Numbers

While recognizing unavoidable lags in the data (ie. for reasons given, data up to July 18 refers to infections contracted up to 2 weeks earlier), Epiforecasts actually places the R(effective) number...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-22-2020, 07:05 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Exponential Growth...

Exponential Growth:
y = a(1 + r)x=brainless extrapolation
Forum: Coronavirus 07-22-2020, 06:39 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
So If Herd Immunity is a Stupid Idea...

What do you call your smart idea of somehow getting everyone infected at the same time? How are you thinking it should be implemented? What about those who would "rather not" be part of your plan? ...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-22-2020, 04:11 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Yer Welcome

What kind of person brags about his past prognistications, but doesn't want anyone else bringing them up? If that's pettiness, I'll take it as a compliment. There's much more, by the way, if...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-22-2020, 03:04 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Nonsense...Colt Was Off By A Mile on Ebola...And So Was Justme

You mean like this from Nov 2014? Here's Colt on the Ebola thread, quoting Justme

Originally Posted by Justme11 View Post
I know math is not some people's strong point, but if there are 45,000...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-22-2020, 10:26 AM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Americans Now Are Just So Special...

What Colt calls "arguments" are actually public health tools that are being used with greater or less success everywhere in the world. Not just quarantine of the sick, but isolation of contacts,...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-21-2020, 09:26 AM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
This Is Potentially Huge!

Thank you for posting this! One of the devious strategies of SARS-CoV2 is that it evades or knocks out the body's natural interferon beta response to defend the lungs.

Interferon beta delivered...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-21-2020, 12:34 AM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Not Everyplace Is Having More Younger Fatalities....

I don't disbelieve the reports that more younger people are dying...if more younger people (under 50) are getting the virus, (and we are seeing that, too) then it's quite likely there would be more...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-17-2020, 09:47 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,573
Posted By ambos lados
You Said It Better Than I Could Have!

All this spending has to lead to inflation, doesn't it? All this debt has to lead to deflated asset values, doesn't it? But which will come first? I have no idea either.

I gloomily surmise I...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-17-2020, 07:44 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Most Credible Claim Yet That Virus is "Partially Man-Made?"

How did we miss this? (If we did...I searched, but my apologies if it has been posted.)

It was an interview given on French TV back in April by Nobel laureate virologist Luc Montagnier, claiming...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-17-2020, 02:35 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,573
Posted By ambos lados
Of Course There Will Be Bail-Ins! Robin Hood & the Sheriff Will Join Forces...

But only after there has been widespread pain...perhaps from inflation, perhaps from a crash in asset values, impoverishing people who are used to having enough to live beyond their means. The many...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-15-2020, 09:35 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,573
Posted By ambos lados
The Policy Reasons for Phasing Out Paper Currency Are Widely Discussed

There is nothing flaky about the idea of modern governments eliminating paper currency.

As evidenced in this 2014 paper by Kenneth Rogoff, an economics and public policy professor at Harvard--and...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-15-2020, 04:13 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,573
Posted By ambos lados
At the Risk of Proving Myself a Nutcase...

I happen to think this actually is the Left's endgame of all the debt--and not only the money but the assets, too.

Of course there's no telling how far off the big changes are. But unlike some...
Forum: Urban Survival 07-15-2020, 03:33 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 2,839
Posted By ambos lados
This is a Better Answer...

Your answer is much better than mine was...but it's a lot to think about when adrenaline has hijacked both your prefrontal cortex and your cerebellum.

If you were genuinely in fear for your...
Forum: Urban Survival 07-14-2020, 09:24 PM
Replies: 29
Views: 2,839
Posted By ambos lados
Some Very Good Advice Here....

As a former prosecutor in a decidedly anti-firearm-self-defence jurisdiction I would agree with everything in the OP...and several other posters as well.

I might add there are some softer, more...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-14-2020, 09:09 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,573
Posted By ambos lados
Definitely Off Topic...

Not saying anything about who's a nutcase (since it could be me), but you are definitely off the topic of this thread. Address the question or GO AWAY.
Forum: Financial Forum 07-14-2020, 07:28 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,573
Posted By ambos lados
Will Debt Trump Trump?

Trump is on record as favouring the restoration of some form of gold standard. However with the money supply exploding, and Congress clearly preferring to keep spending, the idea of a gold standard...
Forum: Financial Forum 07-14-2020, 06:30 PM
Replies: 22
Views: 1,573
Posted By ambos lados
Do You Believe There Is a Formal Plan Unfolding to Phase Out FRN's?

I know these conspiracy-type stories about the end of the USD as we know it have been circulating for years.

I also know that govts and international finance institutions around the world have...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-14-2020, 04:18 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
I Hope This Is Correct

Testing screw-ups are a disaster for more than just the person involved. Whilst outside the hospital setting false positives might just cause distress, inconvenience, and possible loss of income to...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-14-2020, 02:30 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Oh Great...Now It's a Brain Disease!

"Severe brain damage possible even with mild coronavirus symptoms"
https://www.dw.com/en/coronavirus-brain-damage/a-54111054

From the article:
British neurologists have now published shocking...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-14-2020, 02:15 PM
Replies: 61
Views: 4,187
Posted By ambos lados
Stocking Up Now is Very Good Advice For Another Reason

Of course another round of COVID-19 disruptions is always possible.

But part of my philosophy is that SHTF's frequently don't just happen one at a time. While you are focusing on the first...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-12-2020, 04:07 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Testing Criteria Obviously Varies by Location. So Does Tracing.

I have to agree that if you limit testing to only test probable cases, you are bound to have fewer but more severe cases. But testing criteria vary all over the place.

In Alberta we have had...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-12-2020, 12:13 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
So, Retrospective vs. Prospective?

That makes sense.

Still, you would think that a nation that can go from the middle of the pack to the front of the herd in a few weeks could also do the opposite if it applied itself. And now,...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-12-2020, 11:28 AM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Doubling Times: The US Is Seriously Lagging the Herd Immunity Rankings

According to ourworldindata.org, which claims to be updated to today, the US doubling time for COVID-19 stands at 49 days--or more than twice what Colt calculated. (Not sure what could account for...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-12-2020, 10:06 AM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Building Herd Immunity: So What Is Sweden Doing Wrong that the US Will Do Better?

Swedish epidemiologists thought herd immunity would build more quickly, too. So they didn't shut down employment or close schools. They do apparently have the highest infection and death rates in...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-11-2020, 11:40 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
It May Not Be Political...

but what you are advocating is also not responsible or rational. There are numerous established tools--some of which Americans have used in the past, and some which other people in the world are...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-11-2020, 12:20 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Lotta Head Scratching Going On...

But I'm sure not impressed by the quality of scientific efforts being made so far to get to the bottom of any of these few anomalous reports of re-infection.

As the articles say, it could be 1)...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-10-2020, 10:43 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
The World Is Watching...the Incompetence of the CDC and the US Public

This has been my fear from the beginning. Americans' noisy refusal to control themselves or their droplets, and the failure of their leadership to promulgate clear and reasonable guidance for public...
Forum: Coronavirus 07-10-2020, 07:41 PM
Replies: 19,986
Views: 1,790,963
Posted By ambos lados
Zero COVID-19 Infections Amongst IBD Patients? Is This Possible?

Now here's a puzzler: "Zero COVID‐19 infection in inflammatory bowel disease patients: Findings from population‐based inflammatory bowel disease registries in Hong Kong and Taiwan" ...
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