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Problem Beavers Have Returned Hick Industries Hunting and Trapping General Discussion 37 01-20-2017 02:57 PM

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Old 02-16-2017, 04:40 PM
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Revised rain forecast. More, rather than less.

http://www.msn.com/en-us/weather/top...cid=spartandhp
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Old 02-16-2017, 04:49 PM
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No rain here since 6:00AM, even had sunshine off and on.
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Old 02-16-2017, 07:32 PM
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No rain here since 6:00AM, even had sunshine off and on.
If you're up in NCal, sure hope you're prepared for what may come next!!!!

Stay Safe!
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Old 02-16-2017, 08:37 PM
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Looks like starting tomorrow morning, it will rain continuously for 6 days. Storm total of about 6 inches.

https://www.wunderground.com/us/ca/oroville
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Old 02-17-2017, 09:41 AM
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Us Floridians call it the gunshine state...LOL
Call it what you want, most natives like me have moved away anyhow.
Old 02-17-2017, 10:00 AM
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I wish my friend still living in Ca the best of luck, but I sold out and moved away for a reason.

If I still lived anywhere along the Feather or the Sacramento River, I would pack my stuff, list the house for sale, and move to higher ground. Preferably higher ground in another state.

Here is the perfect definition of an I.N.C.H. event.
I'm not coming home, because my home is now floating in San Fransico Bay.
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Old 02-17-2017, 01:15 PM
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I've got a friend with the National Guard? Maybe? Anyways I should say someone I know who has access to information. Way I hear it the issue is a lot worse than they are reporting. National Guard is on standby to help evacuate possibly 2+ million people when/if the dam fails. Evacuation is planned well below Stockton, as all the rivers and creeks are already at capacity. What they have repaired so far is less than 10% of what needs to happen. It all depends on Mother Nature at this point and how much rain drops within the next week. IF we get the get the amount of rain that is predicted, hang on Calif. I'm filling up my gas cans and topping off my pantry this weekend
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Old 02-17-2017, 01:22 PM
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You think they will evacuate Stockton....

115 miles away and further south than Sacramento????
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Old 02-17-2017, 01:33 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by kmech View Post
I've got a friend with the National Guard? Maybe? Anyways I should say someone I know who has access to information. Way I hear it the issue is a lot worse than they are reporting. National Guard is on standby to help evacuate possibly 2+ million people when/if the dam fails. Evacuation is planned well below Stockton, as all the rivers and creeks are already at capacity. What they have repaired so far is less than 10% of what needs to happen. It all depends on Mother Nature at this point and how much rain drops within the next week. IF we get the get the amount of rain that is predicted, hang on Calif. I'm filling up my gas cans and topping off my pantry this weekend
What types of elevation are they talking about? I'm thinking anything lower than about 200' might be in danger. Anything above should be out of the flood plane.....maybe? But that's just my speculation.

I need to go find out how my own neighborhood dam is holding up. Jeez.
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Old 02-17-2017, 02:14 PM
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You think they will evacuate Stockton....

115 miles away and further south than Sacramento????
Don't know if they will evacuate Stockton itself, could just be the influx of people from the Sac area. I was kind of skeptical about that also until I thought about it more
Old 02-17-2017, 02:21 PM
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Don't know if they will evacuate Stockton itself, could just be the influx of people from the Sac area. I was kind of skeptical about that also until I thought about it more
Because Stockton is a HUGE inland port city and about 25ft above sea level??

I have family in Discovery Bay and Downtown Stockton.
I might need to send a tweet.
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Old 02-17-2017, 02:27 PM
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I don't know a whole lot about Stockton other than I spent a week there one afternoon.
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Old 02-17-2017, 03:01 PM
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Don't know if they will evacuate Stockton itself, could just be the influx of people from the Sac area. I was kind of skeptical about that also until I thought about it more
Oroville is looking at it possibly getting as bad as a 200ft wall of water. By the time it gets to Sacramento and lower on the river system we're talking about more traditional flooding. Still a disaster, but not comparable on the epic high mortality rate. People will lose their homes, but generally not their lives.
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Old 02-17-2017, 03:43 PM
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Anderson Reservoir (Morgan Hill/Gilroy) is expected to overflow today or tomorrow... it is only supposed to be at 60% capacity because the dam requires seismic retrofitting...

The dam's relief system can't keep up with the inflow from the rain..
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Old 02-17-2017, 04:07 PM
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minus the government, it's time to pray for the people of California

I hope none of this happens
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Old 02-17-2017, 04:51 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Colt View Post
Oroville is looking at it possibly getting as bad as a 200ft wall of water. By the time it gets to Sacramento and lower on the river system we're talking about more traditional flooding. Still a disaster, but not comparable on the epic high mortality rate. People will lose their homes, but generally not their lives.
That is only if the dam itself were to fail, which it is not in danger of. The worse case scenario at this time is IF for some reason they let the dam overflow again (which they are not likely to do again) and the emergency spillway collapses which would cause a 30 foot wall of water through Oroville and lessening from there. The lake level is still coming down even with the moderate rains we are experiencing.
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Old 02-17-2017, 05:19 PM
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Don't know if they will evacuate Stockton itself, could just be the influx of people from the Sac area. I was kind of skeptical about that also until I thought about it more
It is likely they would direct the refugees to an area well south of Stockton (between Stockton and Modesto) to avoid the delta, and the other large rivers flowing down from the Sierras. It is very possible that Oroville Dam is not the weakest Dam in the Sierras, or the biggest threat.
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Old 02-17-2017, 05:46 PM
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How old is this thing? The weather is changing its mood for the worse in these times all over the place. My street floods now like it never has over almost thirty years. But, now it floods. What's next?
Old 02-17-2017, 05:52 PM
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http://www.intellicast.com/National/...t&animate=true
Old 02-17-2017, 05:57 PM
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It is likely they would direct the refugees to an area well south of Stockton (between Stockton and Modesto) to avoid the delta, and the other large rivers flowing down from the Sierras. It is very possible that Oroville Dam is not the weakest Dam in the Sierras, or the biggest threat.
The smart thing to do would be to head West and then North on I-5 if it came to that. Or, if you you are anywhere near the East side of the valley, head up into the foothills.
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