Israel has a policy of retaliating on every terrorist attack so this is interesting that they named Iran as the source of this attack so quickly. I heard there was some pretty compelling evidence but they always say that.
This could be the igniting source that we've all dreaded.
I am beginning to believe that Israel is not capable to succeed in a attack on Iran. They certainly did not do so well the last time they fought in Lebanon. I also think the strategy is to eventually accept that Iran has nuclear weapons. Meanwhile they will bluff and bluster that any day now ol' Iran is gonna git it.
The only retaliation likely to happen is targeted assassinations.
Israel would be stupid to start a war with Iran, they have a reasonable air force but a very strong army and anti aircraft systems. It's would be a bloodbath, the US aren't that stupid either, the public got to thinking Iraq was unacceptable losses, you'd need a few hundred thousand ground troops minimum (iran has 545k troops and 1.5mill reserves) and you'd be looking at losses of 20%+
what most people dont realize is that despite the fact the us and isreal are itching to get into a fight with iran, bombing their nuclear program is NOT a realistic option, even for the united states.
100% of all of iran's weapons grade urnaium and 99% of all of irans moderately enriched uranium is located smack dab in the middle of downtown tehran at the tehran nuclear research center. The only way to keep iran from using this material to quickly build a few nukes would be to physically distribute the stuff over a wide geographic area, aka bomb the hell out of it. The problem with this is nearly ALL of their enriched uranium is in the form of spent nuclear fuel. bombing it in such a way would essentially be purposefully causing a disaster on par with chernobyl, but not in the middle of nowhere as in Ukraine, but rather in the middle of a densely populated urban area with a population on par with new york city. it would probably be better to nuke tehran than it would be to deal with the radiological aftermath. were talking about killing 10 million people here.
As much as our government and politicians lie to us I wouldn't doubt for a second the U.S. is starting crap with Iran and lying to the rest of the world about it and Israel is clueless about it. I could just see some of our a**holes over there prodding Iran and then running to Israel and saying "See what they're doing now?"
I don't trust anything the U.S. government has their hands in. They never have the greater-good in mind.
As an Israeli, I don't really think this war we all waiting for(being cynical) will ever start..
There is a term called: "Winds of war"...
You can feel it in the air, deep inside your bones... There were this winds of war here for about half a year, and now its quite again... This conflict is a smoke screen for much deeper stuff going on in Israel and USA... Citizens need a common enemy to forget about the inside enemy that literately sucks their life power and blood (I mean money and freedom).
Democracy as we know it is dying in front of us, and we play soldiers with anyone possible.
I live here from 1990... count how many wars I've lived through.. this one will never happen.. not full scale.
Okay the elephant in the room - the bomber does not look nor has a "Swedish" name. Swedish passport does not make one a Swede. Why does that matter? The Swedes get a bad name for some things but they shouldn't for this guy who is obviously taking advantage of lax customs and immigration laws throughout the world.
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